2022 War
War in Ukraine
The Russian invasion brings sanctions, the reception of millions of refugees and candidacies from Ukraine and Moldova.
What leads to what
Declared chains of causation — debatable, like any reading of history.Upstream
- leads to Euromaidan 2013 Le choix européen de 2013 est contesté par les armes.
Downstream
- leads to Candidate status for Ukraine 2022 Quatre mois entre l’invasion et le statut de candidat.
- leads to Candidate status for Moldova 2022 La candidature moldave est examinée le même jour que l’ukrainienne.
- leads to NATO accession of Finland 2023 Deux siècles de neutralité finlandaise s’achèvent en un an.
- leads to NATO accession of Sweden 2024 La Suède suit la Finlande, avec un an de plus de négociations.
Meanwhile, elsewhere
Within twenty-five years of 2022 — the context national timelines leave out.- same year Candidate status for Ukraine Ukraine
- 1 year later NATO accession of Finland Finland
- 2 years earlier NextGenerationEU
- 2 years earlier Brexit United Kingdom
- 2 years later NATO accession of Sweden Sweden
- 2 years earlier 2020 protests Belarus
- 6 years earlier British referendum
- 9 years earlier Euromaidan Ukraine
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